5BR VILLA ORANGE LAKE
5BR + 5BA · 7,372 sqft
▼ −14.3%★ Golden VisaVerified 70d ago
100-day history
🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 28 Apr)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 58 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Scored 58/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 177d ago. A fair offer band sits €2.99M–€3.23M.
All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 58 PTS
25
14
9
10
Drop % 25/35
Negotiability 14/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10
Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
Active comps refreshed hourly
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Orange Lake, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −14.3% · −-€567KPRICE ACTION · 29 DAYS
AskingExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D29
was €3.97M → €3.40M
29d after listing
−14.3%
-€567K
TOTAL · 29D
−14.3%
-€567K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 14.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€18K−€3K / mo
vs €20K at pre-drop price (€3.97M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
€680K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€136K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€7K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€823K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€2.72M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€2.54M
Over full term
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€3K/mo.
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 29 APR, 08:04THIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · DUB135577
Last verified
…
29 Apr, 08:04
Freshness
3× daily
8h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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