EXTENDED WITH GARDEN I FACING THE PARK NEW
3BR + 4BA · 3,450 sqft · Souk Al Jubail
▼ −12.5%Dropped 2×Verified 2h ago
50-day history · 2 cuts
AED 81
Price / sqft
−29% vs area median
3,450 sqft
Built-up area
3BR + 4BA
162d
On market
vs 15d median
AED 1,443
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
2× / 44d
Drop velocity
Accelerating
🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared 2 times (last: 24 May)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 66 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Great deal
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 66 PTS
12
16
19
9
10
Drop % 12/35
Negotiability 16/25
Below median 19/20
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
206 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
206 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Jubail Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −12.5% · −-40KPRICE ACTION · 71 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D27
was AED 320K → AED 300K
27d after listing
−6.3%
-AED 20K
D71
was AED 300K → AED 280K
44d after previous cut
−6.7%
-AED 20K
TOTAL · 71D
−12.5%
-AED 40K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 44 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (6.7%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K−AED 206 / mo
vs AED 2K at pre-drop price (AED 320K) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 56K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 11K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 850
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 68K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 224K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 209K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
−AED 532 / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 1.9 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 286/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 51 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 81 /sqft-28%
vs area median AED 113 /sqft · 50 comps
RANK
11 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ UnderpricedPRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
38
76% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
12
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 77d
NEW THIS WEEK
39
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 280K3,45081—77d—Single Row | Corner Unit | Landscaped | ExecutiveAED 470K11,25542—4d-48%4Bed Luxury Villa| Single Row Villa|Private GardenAED 450K10,10745—3d-44%Perfect Location | Massive Plot | V4 StandardAED 375K8,29045—50d-44%Single Row | Spacious | Private GardenAED 450K8,39654−10.0%66d-33%Vacant | Landscaped | Family CommunityAED 375K5,53968—5d-16%TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 38 are more expensive per sqft. The 12 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1860↑1051 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 395KThis: AED 280K · -29%
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 162D · +147D
ACTIVE COMPS
206
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Jubail Island
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 30 MAY, 04:39THIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PL-38997
Last verified
2h ago
30 May, 04:39
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
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VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
SCORE 25
Park Facing | Landscaped Garden | Ready to Move in
TOWNHOUSE · AL JUBAIL ISLAND
AED 350K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Ready To Move In | Pristine Condition |Family Home
TOWNHOUSE · NOYA VIVA
AED 190K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Move In Ready | 3BR Townhouse | Well Maintained
TOWNHOUSE · ONE MARINA SQUARE
AED 180K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Single Row | 3BR+Maid | First User
TOWNHOUSE · AL JUBAIL ISLAND
AED 280K
ACTIVE LISTING
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