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Scanning the UAE market

LARGE PLOT, SPACIOUS LAYOUT LANDSCAPED · READY

3BR + 4BA · 3,641 sqft · Souk Al Jubail

▼ −9.7%Verified 46d ago

Now

€71K

was €78K€8K · −9.7%
Open on PropertyFinder

69-day history

AED 77

Price / sqft

−29% vs area median

3,641 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

124d

On market

vs 15d median

EUR 1,443

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 58 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
58/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 58 PTS
17
13
19
9
Drop % 17/35
Negotiability 13/25
Below median 19/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 40
40
1 cut · 124d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−10%D7+7d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −10%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer €62K €67K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€67K€62K€71Klow €53K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −29%
−29%
AED 77/sqft vs area median 113/sqft. See 206 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 77/SQFT
206 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
206 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Jubail Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −9.7% · −-€8K

PRICE ACTION · 7 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.3M0.3M0.4M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−10%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D7
was €78K€71K
7d after listing
9.7%
-€8K
TOTAL · 7D
9.7%
-€8K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 9.7% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€363€39 / mo

vs €403 at pre-drop price (€78K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€14K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€3K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€214
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€17K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€56K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€53K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€497
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€363
€134 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 1.9 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.2k1.4k1.7k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€72/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 77 /sqft-32%

vs area median AED 113 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
8 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M6.7M13.1M1,8406,82911,818SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 77424,503
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
42
84% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
8
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 77d
NEW THIS WEEK
39
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 42 are more expensive per sqft. The 8 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€99KThis: €71K · -29%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 124D · +109D
ACTIVE COMPS
206
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Jubail Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 14 APR, 10:46

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PL-39130
Last verified
46d ago
14 Apr, 10:46
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES