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Scanning the UAE market

OP + DLD LOW UP FRONT PAYMENT · CLOSE TO PARK

3BR + 4BA · 2,259 sqft · Kaia at The Valley

▼ −3.5%★ Golden VisaVerified 16m ago

Now

€688K

was €713K€25K · −3.5%
Open on PropertyFinder

1-day history

AED 1,208

Price / sqft

2,259 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

71d

On market

vs 3d median

EUR 14,072

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 22 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
22/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 22 PTS
6
7
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 7/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 30
30
1 cut · 71d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−4%D1+1d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer €640K €667K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€667K€640K€688Klow €516K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
86 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
The Valley, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.5% · −-€25K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
2.4M2.6M2.8M3.0MAREA MEDIAN · 2.6M−4%
AskingArea median 2.6MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was €713K€688K
1d after listing
3.5%
-€25K
TOTAL · 1D
3.5%
-€25K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€4K€130 / mo

vs €4K at pre-drop price (€713K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€138K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€28K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€1K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€166K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€550K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€513K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€3K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€4K
+€305 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
11.5k14.1k16.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€702/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
THE VALLEY · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 50 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,208 /sqft+1338%

vs area median AED 84 /sqft · 49 comps

RANK
34 / 50
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M3.8M7.5M1,4073,7656,124SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,208561,708
BREAKDOWN · 49 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
15
31% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
34
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 1d
NEW THIS WEEK
45
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 49 comparables, 15 are more expensive per sqft. The 34 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
THE VALLEY · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1223414 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€648KThis: €688K · +6%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
3d
THIS: 71D · +68D
ACTIVE COMPS
86
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in The Valley
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 25 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · L-181589
Last verified
16m ago
25 May, 16:25
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN THE VALLEY · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES