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Scanning the UAE market

UPGRADED LUXURIOUS · ONE OF A KIND

6BR + 7BA · 6,625 sqft · Caya 1

▼ −21.2%Verified 45d ago

Now

$177K

was $225K$48K · −21.2%
Open on PropertyFinder

46-day history

AED 98

Price / sqft

6,625 sqft

Built-up area

6BR + 7BA

64d

On market

vs 8d median

USD 3,350

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 14 Apr)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 68 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
68/ 100
Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 68 PTS
35
14
9
10
Drop % 35/35
Negotiability 14/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 50
50
1 cut · 64d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−21%D14+14d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −21%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer $156K $168K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$168K$156K$177Klow $133K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
148 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −21.2% · −-$48K

PRICE ACTION · 14 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.4M0.7M0.9MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−21%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D14
was $225K$177K
14d after listing
21.2%
-$48K
TOTAL · 14D
21.2%
-$48K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 21.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$912$246 / mo

vs $1K at pre-drop price ($225K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$35K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$7K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$433
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$43K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$142K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$132K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$344
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$912
+$568 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.7k3.4k4.0k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$181/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 6BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 14 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 98 /sqft-93%

vs area median AED 1,327 /sqft · 13 comps

RANK
5 / 14
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M5.6M11.0M4,0805,5727,063SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 98551,753
BREAKDOWN · 13 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
9
69% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
4
See table
MEDIAN DOM
7d
this listing: 60d
NEW THIS WEEK
8
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 13 comparables, 9 are more expensive per sqft. The 4 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$69KThis: $177K · +157%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 64D · +56D
ACTIVE COMPS
148
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 15 APR, 10:16

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · MCC-R-52800-1
Last verified
45d ago
15 Apr, 10:16
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES