Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al Jubail IslandBackA-1539

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

3BR + 4BA · 2,895 sqft · Souk Al Jubail

▼ −22.2%Dropped 2×Verified 2d ago

Now

AED 280K

was 360K−80K · −22.2%

Cuts every ~68d · next window in ~60d

117-day history · 2 cuts

AprJunToday

Open on PropertyFinder

117-day history · 2 cuts

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared 2 times (last: 31 Jul)

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 63 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 63/100 (Great deal) because seller has made 2 cuts over 68 days and priced 44% below comparable Al Jubail Island listings. A fair offer band sits AED 246K–AED 266K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 63 PTS

Drop % 6/35

Negotiability 18/25

Below median 20/20

Confidence 9/10

Relist signal 10/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 70

2 cuts in 68d · 116d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY HIGH·MOST RECENT CUT −3%

NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH

HIGH

Suggested offer AED 246K – AED 266K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −44%

−44%

AED 97/sqft vs area median 107/sqft. See 56 comps ↓

56 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

56 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Jubail Island, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

2 CUTS · −22.2% · −-80K

PRICE ACTION · 108 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS

D40

was AED 360K → AED 290K

40d after listing

−19.4%

-AED 70K

D108

was AED 290K → AED 280K

68d after previous cut

−3.4%

-AED 10K

TOTAL · 108D

−22.2%

-AED 80K

NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times over 68d — sustained downward pressure on this asking price.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 1K−AED 412 / mo

vs AED 2K at pre-drop price (AED 360K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 56K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 11K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 850

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 68K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 224K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 209K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 3K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 1K

−AED 1K / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.9 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 286/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 46 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 97 /sqft-9%

vs area median AED 107 /sqft · 45 comps

RANK

17 / 46

MID/HIGH RANGE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 45 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

62% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 45 comparables, 28 are more expensive per sqft. The 17 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 108 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 46 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES