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Scanning the UAE market

BEST GOLF COURSE VIEW POOL · LARGE PLOT

5BR + 6BA · 10,007 sqft

▼ −7.7%Verified 6d ago

Now

$163K

was $177K$14K · −7.7%
Open on PropertyFinder

18-day history

AED 60

Price / sqft

10,007 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

27d

On market

vs 28d median

USD 3,093

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 30 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
30/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 30 PTS
13
8
9
Drop % 13/35
Negotiability 8/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 25
25
1 cut · 27d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−8%D8+8d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −8%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer $152K $158K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$158K$152K$163Klow $123K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
3 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Carmen, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −7.7% · −-$14K

PRICE ACTION · 8 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.6M0.6M0.6M0.7MAREA MEDIAN · 0.6M−8%
AskingArea median 0.6MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D8
was $177K$163K
8d after listing
7.7%
-$14K
TOTAL · 8D
7.7%
-$14K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 7.7% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$842$70 / mo

vs $912 at pre-drop price ($177K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$33K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$7K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$406
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$40K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$131K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$122K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$817
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$842
+$25 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.5k3.1k3.7k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$167/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
CARMEN · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 3 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 60 /sqft-98%

vs area median AED 2,811 /sqft · 2 comps

RANK
2 / 3
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.6M7.4M14.2M4,5627,53510,507SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 60592,811
BREAKDOWN · 2 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
1
50% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
1
See table
MEDIAN DOM
43d
this listing: 26d
NEW THIS WEEK
0
Same supply
TAKEAWAYOf 2 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
CARMEN · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1223414 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$163KThis: $163K · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
28d
THIS: 27D · 1D
ACTIVE COMPS
3
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Carmen
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 19 MAY, 10:17

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · VI45781
Last verified
6d ago
19 May, 10:17
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
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