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Scanning the UAE market

PARK BACKING MOTIVATED SELLER · AYLA

6BR + 7BA · 11,730 sqft · Serenity Mansions

★ Golden VisaVerified 3d ago

Now

AED 26.90M

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 2,293

Price / sqft

11,730 sqft

Built-up area

6BR + 7BA

19d

On market

vs 5d median

AED 138,654

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
71 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Tilal Al Ghaf, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 139K

vs AED 139K at pre-drop price (AED 26.90M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 5.38M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 1.08M
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 54K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 6.51M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 21.52M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 20.08M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 139K
+AED 137K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
113.6k138.7k166.1k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 27K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
TILAL AL GHAF · 6BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 10 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,293 /sqft-17%

vs area median AED 2,761 /sqft · 9 comps

RANK
4 / 10
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M29.5M58.8M3,25111,71420,177SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,293823,112
BREAKDOWN · 9 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
6
67% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
5d
this listing: 18d
NEW THIS WEEK
6
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 9 comparables, 6 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
TILAL AL GHAF · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1223414 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 245KThis: AED 26.90M · +10880%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 19D · +14D
ACTIVE COMPS
71
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Tilal Al Ghaf
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 22 MAY, 18:04

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · RL-215933
Last verified
3d ago
22 May, 18:04
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN TILAL AL GHAF · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES