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GREEN BELT VACANT SOON · EXCELLENT LOCATION

3BR + 3BA · 2,111 sqft · Maple at Dubai Hills Estate 2

▼ −4.5%Verified 1h ago

Now

AED 210K

was 220K−10K · −4.5%
Open on PropertyFinder

2-day history

AED 99

Price / sqft

−17% vs area median

2,111 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 3BA

6d

On market

vs 9d median

AED 1,082

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 33 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 33/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 6d ago and priced 17% below comparable Maple at Dubai Hills Estate listings. A fair offer band sits AED 195K–AED 204K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
33/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 33 PTS
8
5
11
9
Drop % 8/35
Negotiability 5/25
Below median 11/20
Confidence 9/10
Drop %·8/35Negotiability·5/25Below median·11/20Confidence·9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 6d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−5%LATEST+1d
VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −5%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 195K – AED 204K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 204KAED 195KAED 210Klow AED 158K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −17%
−17%
AED 99/sqft vs area median 105/sqft. See 30 comps ↓
MINMEDIANMAXAED 99/SQFT
30 ACTIVE COMPS IN MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
30 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Maple at Dubai Hil, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −4.5% · −-10K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.2M0.2M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−5%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was AED 220K → AED 210K
1d after listing
−4.5%
-AED 10K
TOTAL · 1D
−4.5%
-AED 10K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 4.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K−AED 52 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 220K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 42K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 8K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 710
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 51K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 168K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 157K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
−AED 181 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 4.2 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
0.9k1.1k1.3k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 214/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 25 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 99 /sqft-6%

vs area median AED 105 /sqft · 24 comps

RANK
8 / 25
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.0M5.8M1,9672,8573,746SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 99702,543
BREAKDOWN · 24 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
17
71% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
7
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
24
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 210K2,11199—0d—PARK VIEW | SINGLE RAW | READY TO MOVE-INAED 250K3,56870—0d-29%Vacant| Landscaped| Corner Villa| Near Pool| ReadyAED 260K2,99087—0d-12%Single Row | Close to Amenities | Park BackingAED 260K2,99087—0d-12%Great location I Vacant I Excellent conditionAED 260K2,90989—0d-10%Single Row | Vacant | Quiet LocationAED 255K2,87189—0d-10%
TAKEAWAYOf 24 comparables, 17 are more expensive per sqft. The 7 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 440↓1495 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 253KThis: AED 210K · -17%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
9d
THIS: 6D · −3D
ACTIVE COMPS
30
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Maple at Dubai Hills Estate
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 07 JUN, 18:19

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · L-183629
Last verified
…
07 Jun, 18:19
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
R
roel
Allsop
↻ ≤ 4h
RM
Roel Mangal
allsop
↻ ≤ 4h
Request a callback
We aim to respond within 4hNo spam · 1 message
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

SCORE 25
Upgraded | Vacant in June | 3 bedroom
VILLA · MAEEN 4
AED 340K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Best Price | Vacant | Community Expert | ViewToday
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
AED 290K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
UPGRADED | CLOSE TO POOL&PARK | PRIVATE POOL
VILLA · DEEMA 4
AED 430K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Standalone Vila | Huge Plot | Prime Location
VILLA · JEBEL ALI VILLAGE VILLAS
AED 425K
ACTIVE LISTING
Browse all drops in real estate →
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