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GENUINE RE-SALE 4 + MAIDS · READY Q3

4BR + 4BA · 2,468 sqft · Mudon Al Ranim 6

▼ −3.7%★ Golden VisaVerified 5h ago

Now

AED 3.95M

was 4.10M−150K · −3.7%
Open on PropertyFinder

7-day history

AED 1,600

Price / sqft

2,468 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 4BA

8d

On market

vs 4d median

AED 20,360

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 19 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 19/100 (Below average) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 8d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 3.67M–AED 3.83M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
19/ 100
Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 19 PTS
6
4
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 4/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 8d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−4%LATEST+2d
VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 3.67M – AED 3.83M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 3.83MAED 3.67MAED 3.95Mlow AED 2.96M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
17 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Mudon, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.7% · −-150K

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
3.6M3.8M4.1M4.3MAREA MEDIAN · 3.8M−4%
AskingArea median 3.8MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D2
was AED 4.10M → AED 3.95M
2d after listing
−3.7%
-AED 150K
TOTAL · 2D
−3.7%
-AED 150K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.7% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 20K−AED 773 / mo

vs AED 21K at pre-drop price (AED 4.10M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 790K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 158K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 8K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 956K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 3.16M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 2.95M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 19K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 20K
+AED 1K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
16.7k20.4k24.4k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 4K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
MUDON · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 17 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,600 /sqft+2%

vs area median AED 1,573 /sqft · 16 comps

RANK
10 / 17
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.2M6.3M1,7183,7635,808SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,600812,489
BREAKDOWN · 16 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
7
44% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
9
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
16
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 3.95M2,4681,600—0d—Close to Park | 3+Maids | Single RowAED 180K2,21781—0d-95%Green Belt I Close to Gate I Ready to MoveAED 190K1,812105—0d-93%Single Row I Near Park I Ready to Move InAED 220K1,928114—0d-93%Rare G+2 Layout | Park View | 3 + MaidsAED 220K1,898116—0d-93%The Biggest Plot | Handover Aug | MortgageableAED 4.80M5,175928—0d-42%
TAKEAWAYOf 16 comparables, 7 are more expensive per sqft. The 9 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
MUDON · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 904↓1031 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 3.80MThis: AED 3.95M · +4%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
4d
THIS: 8D · +4D
ACTIVE COMPS
17
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Mudon
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 JUN, 16:28

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · TREO-S-053797
Last verified
…
24 Jun, 16:28
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

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