Drops · Realestate · Dubai · The ValleyBackSS-SL-VLY-ORN15

3BR TOWNHOUSE ORANIA

3BR + 4BA · 1,873 sqft · Orania

★ Golden VisaVerified 5h ago

Now

AED 2.64M

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 1,410

Price / sqft

1,873 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

44d

On market

vs 10d median

AED 13,608

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 44 days ago.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

37 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

The Valley, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 14K

vs AED 14K at pre-drop price (AED 2.64M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 528K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 106K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 6K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 639K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 2.11M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 1.97M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 13K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 14K

+AED 408 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 3K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

THE VALLEY · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 35 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,410 /sqft-2%

vs area median AED 1,443 /sqft · 34 comps

RANK

16 / 35

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 34 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

56% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

This listingThisAED 2.64M1,8731,410—0d—AMAZING LOCATION | CLOSE TO AMENITIES | CORNER KITAED 135K1,87372—0d-95%Close to Pool | Spacious | Brand NewAED 135K1,87472—0d-95%PRIME LOCATION | VALLEY SPECIALISTAED 135K1,87372—0d-95%Single Row | Available 1st October | 3 BedAED 145K1,87277—0d-95%Chiller Free : Ready to Move in : Single RowAED 150K1,87380—0d-94%

TAKEAWAYOf 34 comparables, 19 are more expensive per sqft. The 15 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE ORANIA

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 35 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES