Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 2BackGMR-24402

3BR VILLA REEM COMMUNITY

3BR + 4BA · 1,952 sqft · Reem Community

▼ −9.3%Dropped 2×Verified 5h ago

Now

AED 195K

was 215K−20K · −9.3%

Cuts every ~15d · next window in ~14d

24-day history · 2 cuts

−25dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

24-day history · 2 cuts

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 48 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 48/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 2 cuts over 15 days and priced 96% below comparable Arabian Ranches 2 listings. A fair offer band sits AED 181K–AED 189K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 48 PTS

Drop % 9/35

Negotiability 10/25

Below median 20/20

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 50

2 cuts in 15d · 26d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −5%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer AED 181K – AED 189K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −96%

−96%

AED 100/sqft vs area median 1,456/sqft. See 6 comps ↓

6 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 2

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

6 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches 2, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

2 CUTS · −9.3% · −-20K

PRICE ACTION · 24 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 4.6MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS

was AED 215K → AED 205K

9d after listing

−4.7%

-AED 10K

D24

was AED 205K → AED 195K

15d after previous cut

−4.9%

-AED 10K

TOTAL · 24D

−9.3%

-AED 20K

NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 15 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (4.9%) is a clear capitulation signal.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 1K−AED 103 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 215K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 39K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 8K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 680

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 47K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 156K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 146K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 23K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 1K

−AED 22K / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 199/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES 2 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 6 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 100 /sqft-93%

vs area median AED 1,456 /sqft · 5 comps

RANK

1 / 6

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 5 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

100% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 5 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

ARABIAN RANCHES 2 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D

SLOWING

↓ 145↓423 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

AED 4.63MThis: AED 195K · -96%

AVG DOM

THIS: 26D · +18D

ACTIVE COMPS

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 2

Browse

3BR VILLA REEM COMMUNITY

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 24 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 6 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES