Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al Jubail IslandBackPS-29586

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

3BR + 5BA · 2,895 sqft · Souk Al Jubail

▼ −1.6%★ Golden VisaVerified 5h ago

Now

€1.56M

was €1.59M−€50K · −1.6%

9-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

9-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 19 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 19/100 (Below average) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 24d ago. A fair offer band sits €1.45M–€1.51M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 19 PTS

Drop % 6/35

Negotiability 4/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 24d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −3%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer €1.45M – €1.51M. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

56 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Jubail Island, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −1.6% · −-€50K

PRICE ACTION · 5 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was €1.59M → €1.54M

5d after listing

−3.2%

-€50K

TOTAL · 5D

−1.6%

-€50K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

€8K−€130 / mo

vs €8K at pre-drop price (€1.59M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

€312K

20% of price

DLD FEE

€62K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

€3K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

€378K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

€1.25M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

€1.17M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

€633

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

€8K

+€7K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 46 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 2,142 /sqft+1960%

vs area median AED 104 /sqft · 45 comps

RANK

45 / 46

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 45 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

2% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 45 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 44 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 5 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 46 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES