Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al ShamkhaBackNOU-025

6BR VILLA FAY ALREEMAN

6BR + 7BA · 11,322 sqft · Fay Alreeman

★ Golden VisaVerified 7h ago

Now

AED 5.80M

23-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

23-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 22 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 22/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 22d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 5.39M–AED 5.63M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 22 PTS

Drop % 9/35

Negotiability 4/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 22d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −5%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer AED 5.39M – AED 5.63M. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

108 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Shamkha, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −0.0% · −-300K

PRICE ACTION · 10 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 1.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D10

was AED 5.80M → AED 5.50M

10d after listing

−5.2%

-AED 300K

TOTAL · 10D

−0.0%

-AED 300K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 5.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 30K

vs AED 30K at pre-drop price (AED 5.80M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 1.16M

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 232K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 12K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 1.40M

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 4.64M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 4.33M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 6K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 30K

+AED 24K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 6K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL SHAMKHA · 6BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 39 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 512 /sqft-16%

vs area median AED 610 /sqft · 38 comps

RANK

11 / 39

MID/HIGH RANGE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 38 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

74% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 38 comparables, 28 are more expensive per sqft. The 10 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

6BR VILLA FAY ALREEMAN

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 10 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 39 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES