Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Damac Hills 2BackS7TCQ4A6F8C1H097ESAGXW7QJ0

4BR TOWNHOUSE CAMELIA

4BR + 5BA · 1,832 sqft · Camelia

▼ −4.2%★ Golden VisaVerified 4h ago

Now

AED 2.17M

was 2.27M−95K · −4.2%

3-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

3-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 20 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 20/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 3d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 2.02M–AED 2.11M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 20 PTS

Drop % 7/35

Negotiability 4/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 3d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −4%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer AED 2.02M – AED 2.11M. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

20 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Damac Hills 2, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −4.2% · −-95K

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.7MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was AED 2.27M → AED 2.17M

2d after listing

−4.2%

-AED 95K

TOTAL · 2D

−4.2%

-AED 95K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 4.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 11K−AED 490 / mo

vs AED 12K at pre-drop price (AED 2.27M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 435K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 87K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 5K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 527K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 1.74M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 1.62M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 4K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 11K

+AED 7K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

DAMAC HILLS 2 · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 19 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,187 /sqft+1204%

vs area median AED 91 /sqft · 18 comps

RANK

14 / 19

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 18 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

28% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 18 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 13 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

4BR TOWNHOUSE CAMELIA

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 19 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES