Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Jumeirah Golf EstatesBackDUB160160__M

5BR VILLA ORANGE LAKE

5BR + 6BA · 9,264 sqft · Orange Lake

★ Golden VisaVerified 3h ago

Now

AED 16.25M

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 1,754

Price / sqft

−52% vs area median

9,264 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

On market

vs 1d median

AED 83,759

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Listed 1 days ago and priced 52% below comparable Jumeirah Golf Estates listings.

How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.

BELOW MEDIAN · −52%

−52%

AED 1,754/sqft vs area median 3,922/sqft. See 6 comps ↓

6 ACTIVE COMPS IN JUMEIRAH GOLF ESTATES

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

6 comps · 3× daily

BENCHMARK

Jumeirah Golf Esta, last 180d

REFRESH

3× daily

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE CB caps · 25-yr tenor · 80% LTV on a first home ≤ AED 5M · rates vary by bank — drag the sliders

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 84K

vs AED 84K at pre-drop price (AED 16.25M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 3.25M

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 650K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 33K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 3.93M

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 13.00M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 12.13M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 81K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 84K

+AED 3K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 17K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

JUMEIRAH GOLF ESTATES · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 6 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,754 /sqft-55%

vs area median AED 3,922 /sqft · 5 comps

RANK

1 / 6

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 5 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

100% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

—

this listing: —

NEW THIS WEEK

—

Last 7 days

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

This listingThisAED 16.25M9,2641,754———Garden with Stunning View over 4 Golf HolesAED 23.00M8,5762,682——+53%Full Golf View · Furnished · BasementAED 37.50M11,7583,189——+82%A Rare 15,810 Sq. Ft. Golf-Front EstateAED 62.00M15,8103,922——+124%and Fully Upgraded · Earth Course ViewAED 35.00M8,8733,945——+125%Brand New · Golf View · 5 Bedroom plus StudyAED 32.50M7,7334,203——+140%

TAKEAWAYOf 5 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

JUMEIRAH GOLF ESTATES · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

AED 33.75MThis: AED 16.25M · -52%

AVG DOM

THIS: 1D · −0D

ACTIVE COMPS

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Jumeirah Golf Estates

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VII · TRUST & ACTION

DATA ATTESTED

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE

90%HIGH

Source

PropertyFinder

Ref · DUB160160__M

Last verified

…

09 Sep, 12:51

Freshness

3× daily

8h scan window

Method

Direct scrape

Reference-keyed

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