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BackPL-38535

HUGE GARDEN WITH POOL BRAND NEW EXCEPTIONAL

5BR + 7BA · 13,361 sqft · Seef Al Jubail

▼ −12.2%Dropped 2×Verified 2h ago

Now

AED 610K

was 695K−85K · −12.2%
Open on PropertyFinder

40-day history · 2 cuts

AED 46

Price / sqft

13,361 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 7BA

207d

On market

vs 16d median

AED 3,144

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 27d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 20 Apr)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 46 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
46/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 46 PTS
11
16
9
10
Drop % 11/35
Negotiability 16/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 75
75
2 cuts in 27d · 207d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−6%D37+37d−6%D64+27d
VELOCITY HIGH·LATEST CUT −6%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer AED 537K – AED 580K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 580KAED 537KAED 610Klow AED 458K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
202 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Jubail Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −12.2% · −-85K

PRICE ACTION · 64 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.4M0.5M0.6M0.7MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−6%−6%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D37
was AED 695K → AED 650K
37d after listing
−6.5%
-AED 45K
D64
was AED 650K → AED 610K
27d after previous cut
−6.2%
-AED 40K
TOTAL · 64D
−12.2%
-AED 85K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 27 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (6.2%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 3K−AED 438 / mo

vs AED 4K at pre-drop price (AED 695K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 122K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 24K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 2K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 148K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 488K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 455K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 3K
+AED 1K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.6k3.1k3.8k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 622/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 46 /sqft-94%

vs area median AED 775 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
12 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M11.7M23.1M2,74111,93321,126SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 46342,634
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
39
78% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
11
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
50
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 610K13,36146—0d—Pool and Large Garden | Brand New | ReadyAED 600K17,42334—0d-26%Hot Deal | Luxury Villa with Private Pool| VacantAED 600K17,42234—0d-26%Negotiable | Up to 4 Cheques | Private PoolAED 600K17,42434−7.7%0d-26%Exceptional with Pool and Garden | Top FinishingAED 600K17,42334−7.7%0d-26%Vacant|Single Row Villa|Corner Unit|Calm LivingAED 650K17,42437—0d-20%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 39 are more expensive per sqft. The 11 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1918↑1109 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 385KThis: AED 610K · +58%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
16d
THIS: 207D · +191D
ACTIVE COMPS
202
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Jubail Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 30 MAY, 21:39

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PL-38535
Last verified
…
30 May, 21:39
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

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