Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al Jubail IslandBackLAM-1405

4BR VILLA AIN AL MAHA

4BR + 7BA · 12,005 sqft · Ain Al Maha

Verified 2h ago

Now

AED 460K

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 38

Price / sqft

−8% vs area median

12,005 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 7BA

10d

On market

vs 15d median

AED 2,371

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 10 days ago and priced 8% below comparable Al Jubail Island listings.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

BELOW MEDIAN · −8%

−8%

AED 38/sqft vs area median 111/sqft. See 59 comps ↓

59 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

59 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Jubail Island, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 2K

vs AED 2K at pre-drop price (AED 460K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 92K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 18K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 1K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 112K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 368K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 343K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 3K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 2K

−AED 129 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 12.7 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 469/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 46 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 38 /sqft-66%

vs area median AED 111 /sqft · 45 comps

RANK

2 / 46

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 45 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

98% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 45 comparables, 44 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

4BR VILLA AIN AL MAHA

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 46 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES