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Scanning the UAE market

PREMIUM VILLA WITH PRIVATE GARDEN MOVE-IN READY

3BR + 4BA · 4,133 sqft

▼ −6.9%Verified 60d ago

Now

AED 270K

was 290K20K · −6.9%
Open on PropertyFinder

75-day history

AED 65

Price / sqft

−31% vs area median

4,133 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

88d

On market

vs 15d median

AED 1,392

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 51 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
51/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 51 PTS
12
10
20
9
Drop % 12/35
Negotiability 10/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 35
35
1 cut · 88d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−7%D2+2d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −7%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 251K AED 262K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 262KAED 251KAED 270Klow AED 203K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −31%
−31%
AED 65/sqft vs area median 71/sqft. See 18 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 65/SQFT
18 ACTIVE COMPS IN ASPENS

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
18 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Aspens, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −6.9% · −-20K

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.3M0.3M0.4M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−7%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D2
was AED 290KAED 270K
2d after listing
6.9%
-AED 20K
TOTAL · 2D
6.9%
-AED 20K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 6.9% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1KAED 103 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 290K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 54K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 11K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 830
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 66K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 216K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 202K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
AED 570 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 1.7 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.1k1.4k1.7k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 275/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ASPENS · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 16 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 65 /sqft-8%

vs area median AED 71 /sqft · 15 comps

RANK
4 / 16
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M3.3M6.4M3,1905,1617,132SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 65591,802
BREAKDOWN · 15 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
12
80% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
11d
this listing: 77d
NEW THIS WEEK
5
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 15 comparables, 12 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ASPENS · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 393KThis: AED 270K · -31%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 88D · +73D
ACTIVE COMPS
18
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Aspens
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 31 MAR, 14:47

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · FB8PV3SJC4EZBY6N3VXJGJMDH0
Last verified
60d ago
31 Mar, 14:47
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ASPENS · RANKED BY RECENCY

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