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Scanning the UAE market

LUSH GARDEN SPACE EXPERIENCE LUXURY LIVE · CALL

2BR + 3BA · 1,816 sqft

▼ −3.1%Dropped 2×Verified 60d ago

Now

AED 155K

was 160K35K · −3.1%
Open on PropertyFinder

67-day history · 2 cuts

AED 85

Price / sqft

−37% vs area median

1,816 sqft

Built-up area

2BR + 3BA

77d

On market

vs 8d median

AED 799

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 3d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 58 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
58/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 58 PTS
17
12
20
9
Drop % 17/35
Negotiability 12/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 55
55
2 cuts in 3d · 77d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−13%D10+10d−10%D13+3d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −10%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 144K AED 150K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 150KAED 144KAED 155Klow AED 116K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −37%
−37%
AED 85/sqft vs area median 121/sqft. See 36 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 85/SQFT
36 ACTIVE COMPS IN NOYA 1

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
36 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Noya 1, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −3.1% · −-35K

PRICE ACTION · 13 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.1M0.2M0.2M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.2M−13%−10%
AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D10
was AED 160KAED 140K
10d after listing
12.5%
-AED 20K
D13
was AED 155KAED 140K
3d after previous cut
9.7%
-AED 15K
TOTAL · 13D
3.1%
-AED 35K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 3 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (9.7%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 799AED 26 / mo

vs AED 825 at pre-drop price (AED 160K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 31K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 6K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 600
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 38K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 124K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 116K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 799
AED 426 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 1.3 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
0.7k0.8k1.0k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 158/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
NOYA 1 · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 30 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 85 /sqft-30%

vs area median AED 121 /sqft · 29 comps

RANK
3 / 30
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M2.4M4.7M1,6972,3613,026SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 85792,296
BREAKDOWN · 29 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
23
79% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 77d
NEW THIS WEEK
28
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 29 comparables, 23 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
NOYA 1 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 245KThis: AED 155K · -37%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 77D · +69D
ACTIVE COMPS
36
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Noya 1
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 31 MAR, 08:16

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · SQR0C8YKC93PY4HGQMDX3JDN78
Last verified
60d ago
31 Mar, 08:16
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN NOYA 1 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES