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NEXT TO CORNER NEAR CULTURAL SPINE · PRIME AREA

4BR + 7BA · 7,750 sqft · Saadiyat Lagoons

▼ −7.7%★ Golden VisaDropped 3×Verified 21d ago

Now

€1.95M

was €2.12M−€164K · −7.7%
Open on PropertyFinder

64-day history · 3 cuts

AED 1,000

Price / sqft

−7% vs area median

7,750 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 7BA

68d

On market

vs 15d median

EUR 39,947

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

3× / 28d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 23 Apr)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 40 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
40/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 40 PTS
1
15
5
9
10
Drop % 1/35
Negotiability 15/25
Below median 5/20
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 65
65
3 cuts in 28d · 68d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−5%D4+4d−3%D31+27d−1%D32+1d
VELOCITY HIGH·LATEST CUT −1%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer €1.72M – €1.85M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€1.85M€1.72M€1.95Mlow €1.46M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −7%
−7%
AED 1,000/sqft vs area median 1,227/sqft. See 139 comps ↓
MINMEDIANMAXAED 1,000/SQFT
139 ACTIVE COMPS IN SAADIYAT ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
139 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Saadiyat Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
3 CUTS · −7.7% · −-€164K

PRICE ACTION · 32 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
7.4M7.8M8.3M8.8MAREA MEDIAN · 8.3M−5%−3%−1%
AskingArea median 8.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 3 EVENTS
D4
was €2.12M → €2.02M
4d after listing
−4.8%
-€101K
D31
was €2.02M → €1.96M
27d after previous cut
−2.5%
-€50K
D32
was €1.96M → €1.95M
1d after previous cut
−0.6%
-€13K
TOTAL · 32D
−7.7%
-€164K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 3 times in 28 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (0.6%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€10K−€844 / mo

vs €11K at pre-drop price (€2.12M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
€390K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€78K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€4K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€472K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€1.56M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€1.46M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€11K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€10K
−€454 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 15.1 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
32.7k39.9k47.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SAADIYAT ISLAND · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,000 /sqft-19%

vs area median AED 1,227 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
11 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M18.5M36.8M1,5097,46613,424SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,000706,943
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
40
80% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
10
See table
MEDIAN DOM
7d
this listing: 68d
NEW THIS WEEK
27
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis€1.95M7,7501,000—68d—Spacious Villa | Private Pool | Beach Access€227K12,78570—14d-93%Corner Villa | 4 Bedroom | Direct Beach Access€126K6,64675—22d-92%Vacant | Luxurious Type 6 Villa | Private Pool€214K9,67088—4d-91%UPCOMING! Type 7 Villa | Modern and Luxury Living€196K6,781115—11d-88%Brand New | Private Pool | Premium Finishes€277K9,089121—4d-88%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 40 are more expensive per sqft. The 10 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SAADIYAT ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1860↑1051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€2.10MThis: €1.95M · -7%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 68D · +53D
ACTIVE COMPS
139
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Saadiyat Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 09 MAY, 04:33

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · 10191-XGbsx3-5
Last verified
21d ago
09 May, 04:33
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SAADIYAT ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

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