Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al ShamkhaBackMCP-S-43776

SPACIOUS 4BR VILLA PREMIUM LOCATION

4BR + 5BA · 6,215 sqft · Fay Alreeman

★ Golden VisaVerified 2h ago

Now

AED 3.95M

19-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

19-day history

AED 636

Price / sqft

6,215 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 5BA

30d

On market

vs 14d median

AED 20,360

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 16 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 16 PTS

Drop % 2/35

Negotiability 5/25

Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 30d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −1%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer AED 3.67M – AED 3.83M. Request a callback ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

247 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Shamkha, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −-2.6% · −-50K

PRICE ACTION · 3 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 3.8MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was AED 3.85M → AED 3.80M

3d after listing

−1.3%

-AED 50K

TOTAL · 3D

−-2.6%

-AED 50K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 1.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 20K

vs AED 20K at pre-drop price (AED 3.85M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 790K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 158K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 8K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 956K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 3.16M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 2.95M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 19K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 20K

+AED 2K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 4K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL SHAMKHA · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 636 /sqft-8%

vs area median AED 692 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK

19 / 51

MID/HIGH RANGE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

64% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 22d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

This listingThisAED 3.95M6,215636—22d—Great Price | First Resident | 6BR+M&Driver VillaAED 240K10,77022−4.0%28d-97%Corner 5BR+Maid Villa|Vacant |Large LayoutAED 270K10,32026—13d-96%Double Row 5BR Corner Villa | Luxury FinishesAED 295K10,09829—7d-95%Standalone Villa 5 MBR + Maid & Driver | Big PatioAED 200K5,60036—8d-94%Brand New Modern 4BR | Family LivingAED 210K5,48738—9d-94%

TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 32 are more expensive per sqft. The 18 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

AL SHAMKHA · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.

AREA PULSE · 30D

BUYER'S MARKET

↑ 1245↑436 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

AED 3.75MThis: AED 3.95M · +5%

AVG DOM

14d

THIS: 30D · +16D

ACTIVE COMPS

247

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Al Shamkha

Browse

VII · TRUST & ACTION

DATA ATTESTED · 27 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE

90%HIGH

Source

PropertyFinder

Ref · MCP-S-43776

Last verified

2h ago

27 May, 16:25

Freshness

Hourly

2h scan window

Method

Direct scrape

Reference-keyed

VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

No verified specialist for this area yet. Submit a callback and we'll match one.

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST

4 ACTIVE IN AL SHAMKHA · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−5%SCORE 56

Premium finishes | Direct Park access | Single Row

VILLA · SAADIYAT ISLAND

Waterfront |6 M-BR +Maid | Pool | Luxury Finishing

Single Row | Private Pool | Facing Park | Luxury 5

Corner Villa| Ideal Location| Prime Community

VILLA · AL GHADEER

AED 3.35M

ACTIVE LISTING

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