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Scanning the UAE market

SINGLE ROW FREEHOLD VILLA · MOVE IN READY

5BR + 6BA · 5,490 sqft · Alreeman II

▼ −1.2%★ Golden VisaVerified 2h ago

Now

$1.10M

was $1.12M$14K · −1.2%
Open on PropertyFinder

19-day history

AED 738

Price / sqft

5,490 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

22d

On market

vs 14d median

USD 20,875

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 16 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
16/ 100
Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 16 PTS
2
5
9
Drop % 2/35
Negotiability 5/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 22d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−1%D1+1d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −1%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $1.03M $1.07M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$1.07M$1.03M$1.10Mlow $827K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
247 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Shamkha, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −1.2% · −-$14K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
3.6M3.8M4.1M4.3MAREA MEDIAN · 3.8M−1%
AskingArea median 3.8MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was $1.12M$1.10M
1d after listing
1.2%
-$14K
TOTAL · 1D
1.2%
-$14K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 1.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$6K$70 / mo

vs $6K at pre-drop price ($1.12M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$221K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$44K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$2K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$267K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$882K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$823K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$5K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$6K
+$579 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
17.1k20.9k25.0k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$1K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL SHAMKHA · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 738 /sqft+7%

vs area median AED 692 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
33 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.8M7.4M3,8337,88611,939SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 738221,115
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
18
36% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
32
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 20d
NEW THIS WEEK
36
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 18 are more expensive per sqft. The 32 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL SHAMKHA · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1245436 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$1.02MThis: $1.10M · +8%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
14d
THIS: 22D · +8D
ACTIVE COMPS
247
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Shamkha
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 27 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · 106263-eLrINd
Last verified
2h ago
27 May, 16:25
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL SHAMKHA · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES