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Scanning the UAE market

ALBA – ULTRA-LUXURY 2BR PENTHOUSE ON PALM JUMEIRAH

2BR + 3BA · 1,898 sqft

★ Golden VisaVerified 12m ago

Now

AED 21.33M

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 11,238

Price / sqft

1,898 sqft

Built-up area

2BR + 3BA

10d

On market

vs 5d median

AED 109,944

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
21 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 110K

vs AED 110K at pre-drop price (AED 21.33M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 4.27M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 853K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 43K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 5.16M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 17.06M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 15.92M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 110K
+AED 108K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
90.1k109.9k131.7k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 22K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
DUBAI · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 4 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 11,238 /sqft+11252%

vs area median AED 99 /sqft · 3 comps

RANK
4 / 4
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M11.2M22.4M5411,2671,993SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 11,2388911,238
BREAKDOWN · 3 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
0
0% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 1d
NEW THIS WEEK
3
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 3 comparables, 0 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
DUBAI · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1223414 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 400KThis: AED 21.33M · +5233%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 10D · +5D
ACTIVE COMPS
21
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Dubai
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 25 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · TYJCSPFZ2TYSET8S923VYQSTY8
Last verified
12m ago
25 May, 16:25
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN DUBAI · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES