UAEDrops

Scanning the UAE market

BackPB-S-39075

FULLY UPGRADED GREAT LOCATION · OWNER OCCUPIED

3BR + 3BA · 2,456 sqft

▼ −3.8%★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago

Now

AED 5.05M

was 5.25M−200K · −3.8%
Open on PropertyFinder

19-day history

AED 2,056

Price / sqft

2,456 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 3BA

19d

On market

vs 8d median

AED 26,030

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 21/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 19d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 4.70M–AED 4.90M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
21/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS
7
5
9
Drop % 7/35
Negotiability 5/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 19d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−4%LATEST+14d
VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 4.70M – AED 4.90M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 4.90MAED 4.70MAED 5.05Mlow AED 3.79M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
15 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Springs 8, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.8% · −-200K

PRICE ACTION · 14 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.3M2.0M3.8M5.5MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D14
was AED 5.25M → AED 5.05M
14d after listing
−3.8%
-AED 200K
TOTAL · 14D
−3.8%
-AED 200K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 26K−AED 1K / mo

vs AED 27K at pre-drop price (AED 5.25M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 1.01M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 202K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 10K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 1.22M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 4.04M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 3.77M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 26K
+AED 25K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
21.3k26.0k31.2k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 5K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SPRINGS 8 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 15 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,056 /sqft+1657%

vs area median AED 117 /sqft · 14 comps

RANK
12 / 15
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.7M7.2M1,5492,5043,460SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,056762,267
BREAKDOWN · 14 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
3
21% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
11
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
14
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 5.05M2,4562,056—0d—Type 4E - Upgraded - Well MaintainedAED 200K2,63276—0d-96%Ready Soon | Brand new Villa | Type 3EAED 295K3,29590—0d-96%Fully Upgraded | Corner Plot | Pool + ParkAED 299K3,29591—0d-96%Newly Renovated | Extended | VacantAED 250K2,59596—0d-95%Fully Upgraded | Corner Plot | PremiumAED 320K3,29597—0d-95%
TAKEAWAYOf 14 comparables, 3 are more expensive per sqft. The 11 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SPRINGS 8 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 561↓1374 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 299KThis: AED 5.05M · +1589%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 19D · +11D
ACTIVE COMPS
15
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Springs 8
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 06 JUN, 00:07

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PB-S-39075
Last verified
…
06 Jun, 00:07
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

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