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Scanning the UAE market

FULLY UPGRADED GREAT LOCATION · OWNER OCCUPIED

3BR + 3BA · 2,456 sqft

▼ −3.8%★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago

Now

€1.27M

was €1.32M€50K · −3.8%
Open on PropertyFinder

19-day history

AED 2,056

Price / sqft

2,456 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 3BA

19d

On market

vs 8d median

EUR 26,030

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 21/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 19d ago. A fair offer band sits €1.18M–€1.23M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
21/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS
7
5
9
Drop % 7/35
Negotiability 5/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 19d on market · Price evidence
ListedLISTED−4%LATEST+14d
VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer €1.18M €1.23M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€1.23M€1.18M€1.27Mlow €954K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
15 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Springs 8, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.8% · −-€50K

PRICE ACTION · 14 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.3M2.0M3.8M5.5MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D14
was €1.32M€1.27M
14d after listing
3.8%
-€50K
TOTAL · 14D
3.8%
-€50K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€7K€260 / mo

vs €7K at pre-drop price (€1.32M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€254K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€51K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€3K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€308K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€1.02M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€949K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€377
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€7K
+€6K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
21.3k26.0k31.2k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€1K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SPRINGS 8 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 15 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,056 /sqft+1657%

vs area median AED 117 /sqft · 14 comps

RANK
12 / 15
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.7M7.2M1,5492,5043,460SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,056762,267
BREAKDOWN · 14 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
3
21% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
11
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
14
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 14 comparables, 3 are more expensive per sqft. The 11 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SPRINGS 8 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
5691366 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€75KThis: €1.27M · +1589%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 19D · +11D
ACTIVE COMPS
15
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Springs 8
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 06 JUN, 00:07

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PB-S-39075
Last verified
06 Jun, 00:07
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SPRINGS 8 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES