UAEDrops

Scanning the UAE market

UPGRADED PRIME SINGLE ROW · HEART OF CENTRO

4BR + 5BA · 5,500 sqft · The Centro

▼ −5.0%Verified 3d ago

Now

$78K

was $82K$4K · −5.0%
Open on PropertyFinder

4-day history

AED 52

Price / sqft

−10% vs area median

5,500 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 5BA

6d

On market

vs 8d median

USD 1,469

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 30 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
30/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 30 PTS
9
5
7
9
Drop % 9/35
Negotiability 5/25
Below median 7/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 6d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−5%D2+2d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −5%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $72K $75K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$75K$72K$78Klow $58K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −10%
−10%
AED 52/sqft vs area median 77/sqft. See 10 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 52/SQFT
10 ACTIVE COMPS IN THE VILLA

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
10 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
The Villa, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −5.0% · −-$4K

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.3M0.3M0.3M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−5%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D2
was $82K$78K
2d after listing
5.0%
-$4K
TOTAL · 2D
5.0%
-$4K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 5.0% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$400$21 / mo

vs $421 at pre-drop price ($82K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$16K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$3K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$234
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$19K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$62K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$58K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$429
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$400
$29 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 9.6 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.2k1.5k1.8k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$79/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
THE VILLA · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 9 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 52 /sqft-32%

vs area median AED 77 /sqft · 8 comps

RANK
4 / 9
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M4.6M8.9M3,7056,0538,400SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 52421,408
BREAKDOWN · 8 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
5
63% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
8
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 8 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
THE VILLA · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
19181109 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$86KThis: $78K · -10%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 6D · 2D
ACTIVE COMPS
10
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in The Villa
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 28 MAY, 04:40

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · LP49199
Last verified
28 May, 04:40
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN THE VILLA · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES