Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackSP-ZU-RAYA-AR3-D

3BR VILLA RAYA

3BR + 3BA · 1,436 sqft · Raya

Verified 2h ago

Now

AED 150K

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 104

Price / sqft

−9% vs area median

1,436 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 3BA

24d

On market

vs 4d median

AED 773

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 24 days ago and priced 9% below comparable Arabian Ranches 3 listings.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

BELOW MEDIAN · −9%

−9%

AED 104/sqft vs area median 112/sqft. See 45 comps ↓

45 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

45 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 773

vs AED 773 at pre-drop price (AED 150K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 30K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 6K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 590

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 37K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 120K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 112K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 825

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 773

−AED 52 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 10.6 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 153/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 45 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 104 /sqft-7%

vs area median AED 112 /sqft · 44 comps

RANK

16 / 45

MID/HIGH RANGE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 44 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

66% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 44 comparables, 29 are more expensive per sqft. The 15 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR VILLA RAYA

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 45 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES