Drops · Realestate · Dubai · SerenaBackHUSPY-6EBY5AMBFM3J3MCZ4METTS6X5G

3BR VILLA CASA VIVA

3BR + 4BA · 2,005 sqft · Casa Viva

▼ −13.6%Verified 7h ago

Now

€48K

was €55K−€8K · −13.6%

19-day history

−15dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

19-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 61 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 61/100 (Great deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 19d ago and priced 92% below comparable Serena listings. A fair offer band sits €45K–€46K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 61 PTS

Drop % 24/35

Negotiability 8/25

Below median 20/20

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 30

1 cut · 19d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −14%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer €45K – €46K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −92%

−92%

AED 95/sqft vs area median 1,395/sqft. See 7 comps ↓

7 ACTIVE COMPS IN SERENA

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

7 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Serena, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −13.6% · −-€8K

PRICE ACTION · 14 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 2.5MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D14

was €55K → €48K

14d after listing

−13.6%

-€8K

TOTAL · 14D

−13.6%

-€8K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 13.6% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

€247−€39 / mo

vs €286 at pre-drop price (€55K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

€10K

20% of price

DLD FEE

€2K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

€169

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

€12K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

€38K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

€36K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

€3K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

€247

−€3K / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.1 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€49/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

SERENA · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 7 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 95 /sqft-93%

vs area median AED 1,395 /sqft · 6 comps

RANK

2 / 7

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 6 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

83% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 6 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

SERENA · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.

AREA PULSE · 30D

SLOWING

↓ 145↓423 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

€636KThis: €48K · -92%

AVG DOM

17d

THIS: 19D · +2D

ACTIVE COMPS

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Serena

Browse

VII · TRUST & ACTION

DATA ATTESTED · 08 AUG, 16:40

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE

90%HIGH

Source

PropertyFinder

Ref · Huspy-6EBY5AMBFM3J3MCZ4METTS6X5G

Last verified

…

08 Aug, 16:40

Freshness

3× daily

8h scan window

Method

Direct scrape

Reference-keyed

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.