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Scanning the UAE market

PARK FACING PREMIUM JOUD VILLA · CORNER PLOT

3BR + 4BA · 4,532 sqft · Al Jurf Gardens

▼ −2.0%★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago

Now

$1.49M

was $1.52M$30K · −2.0%
Open on PropertyFinder

4-day history

AED 1,211

Price / sqft

4,532 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

81d

On market

vs 22d median

USD 28,298

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 01 Jun)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 29 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
29/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 29 PTS
3
7
9
10
Drop % 3/35
Negotiability 7/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 30
30
1 cut · 81d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−2%D63+63d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −2%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $1.39M $1.45M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$1.45M$1.39M$1.49Mlow $1.12M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
7 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
AlJurf, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.0% · −-$30K

PRICE ACTION · 63 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
5.2M5.4M5.7M5.9MAREA MEDIAN · 5.5M−2%
AskingArea median 5.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D63
was $1.52M$1.49M
63d after listing
2.0%
-$30K
TOTAL · 63D
2.0%
-$30K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.0% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$8K$154 / mo

vs $8K at pre-drop price ($1.52M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$299K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$60K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$3K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$362K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$1.20M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$1.12M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$7K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$8K
+$231 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
23.2k28.3k33.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ALJURF · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 5 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,211 /sqft+9%

vs area median AED 1,106 /sqft · 4 comps

RANK
4 / 5
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M4.3M8.4M2,5515,5498,547SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,211291,486
BREAKDOWN · 4 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
1
25% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
4
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 4 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ALJURF · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
3621573 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$1.49MThis: $1.49M · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
22d
THIS: 81D · +59D
ACTIVE COMPS
7
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in AlJurf
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 01 JUN, 08:35

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · KPA-S-2603020
Last verified
01 Jun, 08:35
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
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We aim to respond within 4hNo spam · 1 message
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ALJURF · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES