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HOT DEAL DOUBLE ROW 4BR · MID UNIT

4BR + 6BA · 4,976 sqft · Saadiyat Lagoons

▼ −1.2%★ Golden VisaDropped 2×Verified 2h ago

Now

$2.21M

was $2.23M−$163K · −1.2%
Open on PropertyFinder

39-day history · 2 cuts

AED 1,628

Price / sqft

4,976 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 6BA

58d

On market

vs 13d median

USD 41,751

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 14d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared 2 times (last: 19 May)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 38 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
38/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 38 PTS
9
10
9
10
Drop % 9/35
Negotiability 10/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 50
50
2 cuts in 14d · 58d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−2%D18+18d−5%D32+14d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −5%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer $2.05M – $2.14M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$2.14M$2.05M$2.21Mlow $1.65M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −0%
−0%
AED 1,628/sqft vs area median 1,109/sqft. See 159 comps ↓
MINMEDIANMAXAED 1,628/SQFT
159 ACTIVE COMPS IN SAADIYAT ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
159 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Saadiyat Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −1.2% · −-$163K

PRICE ACTION · 32 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
7.2M7.7M8.1M8.6MAREA MEDIAN · 8.1M−2%−5%
AskingArea median 8.1MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D18
was $2.23M → $2.18M
18d after listing
−2.4%
-$54K
D32
was $2.18M → $2.07M
14d after previous cut
−5.0%
-$109K
TOTAL · 32D
−1.2%
-$163K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 14 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (5.0%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$11K−$140 / mo

vs $12K at pre-drop price ($2.23M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
$441K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$88K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$4K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$534K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$1.76M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$1.65M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$11K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$11K
+$320 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
34.2k41.8k50.0k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SAADIYAT ISLAND · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,628 /sqft+47%

vs area median AED 1,109 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
40 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M21.1M42.0M2,3287,87613,424SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,628686,943
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
10
20% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
40
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 57d
NEW THIS WEEK
36
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis$2.21M4,9761,628—57d—~~! Hot Offer | Prime Location !~~$163K8,78468—6d-96%Vacant | Luxurious Type 6 Villa | Private Pool$231K9,67088—1d-95%Sea View | Pets allowed | Balcony | Big layout |$108K3,675107—4d-93%Beach Access | Balcony | 3+M | Pets allowed |$79K2,450118—4d-93%Prestige and Privacy | 5BR Villa | Ready to Move$163K5,059119—8d-93%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 10 are more expensive per sqft. The 40 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SAADIYAT ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1245↑436 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$2.21MThis: $2.21M · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
13d
THIS: 58D · +45D
ACTIVE COMPS
159
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Saadiyat Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 27 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · NAT-S-34853-A
Last verified
2h ago
27 May, 16:25
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SAADIYAT ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−5%SCORE 56
Premium finishes | Direct Park access | Single Row
VILLA · SAADIYAT ISLAND
$2.72M
$2.86M
PRICE TRAJECTORY
SCORE 25
Waterfront |6 M-BR +Maid | Pool | Luxury Finishing
VILLA · LEA
$4.08M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Single Row | Private Pool | Facing Park | Luxury 5
VILLA · YAS ISLAND
$2.86M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Corner Villa| Ideal Location| Prime Community
VILLA · AL GHADEER
$912K
ACTIVE LISTING
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