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Scanning the UAE market

EXCLUSIVE BACKING POOL AND PARK · VOT

5BR + 5BA · 3,680 sqft · Aseel

▼ −3.3%★ Golden VisaVerified 17d ago

Now

AED 9.65M

was 9.97M325K · −3.3%
Open on PropertyFinder

29-day history

AED 2,622

Price / sqft

−16% vs area median

3,680 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 5BA

51d

On market

vs 10d median

AED 49,740

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 33 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
33/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 33 PTS
6
7
11
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 7/25
Below median 11/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 25
25
1 cut · 51d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−3%D18+18d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −3%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 8.97M AED 9.36M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 9.36MAED 8.97MAED 9.65Mlow AED 7.24M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −16%
−16%
AED 2,622/sqft vs area median 2,590/sqft. See 13 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 2,622/SQFT
13 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
13 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.3% · −-325K

PRICE ACTION · 18 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
9.2M10.1M11.1M12.1MAREA MEDIAN · 11.5M−3%
AskingArea median 11.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D18
was AED 9.97MAED 9.65M
18d after listing
3.3%
-AED 325K
TOTAL · 18D
3.3%
-AED 325K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 50KAED 2K / mo

vs AED 51K at pre-drop price (AED 9.97M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 1.93M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 386K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 20K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 2.34M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 7.72M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 7.20M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 58K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 50K
AED 8K / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 4.4 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
40.7k49.7k59.6k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 10K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 13 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,622 /sqft+1%

vs area median AED 2,590 /sqft · 12 comps

RANK
8 / 13
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.6M14.5M28.4M3,28512,46221,639SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,622664,950
BREAKDOWN · 12 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
5
42% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
7
See table
MEDIAN DOM
10d
this listing: 47d
NEW THIS WEEK
4
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 12 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 7 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 11.50MThis: AED 9.65M · -16%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
10d
THIS: 51D · +41D
ACTIVE COMPS
13
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 13 MAY, 06:08

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · API-S-1114
Last verified
17d ago
13 May, 06:08
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES