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Scanning the UAE market

CLOSE TO LINEAR PARK WARM FINISHING · AL SIDR

4BR + 7BA · 4,968 sqft · Saadiyat Lagoons

▼ −3.1%★ Golden VisaVerified 2h ago

Now

€1.95M

was €2.02M€63K · −3.1%
Open on PropertyFinder

9-day history

AED 1,560

Price / sqft

−4% vs area median

4,968 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 7BA

14d

On market

vs 13d median

EUR 39,947

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 18 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
18/ 100
Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 18 PTS
5
4
9
Drop % 5/35
Negotiability 4/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 14d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−3%D4+4d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −3%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer €1.82M €1.89M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€1.89M€1.82M€1.95Mlow €1.46M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −4%
−4%
AED 1,560/sqft vs area median 1,109/sqft. See 159 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 1,560/SQFT
159 ACTIVE COMPS IN SAADIYAT ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
159 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Saadiyat Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.1% · −-€63K

PRICE ACTION · 4 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
7.4M7.7M8.1M8.5MAREA MEDIAN · 8.1M−3%
AskingArea median 8.1MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D4
was €2.02M€1.95M
4d after listing
3.1%
-€63K
TOTAL · 4D
3.1%
-€63K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.1% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€10K€325 / mo

vs €10K at pre-drop price (€2.02M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€390K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€78K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€4K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€472K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€1.56M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€1.46M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€10K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€10K
€158 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 43.2 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
32.7k39.9k47.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SAADIYAT ISLAND · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,560 /sqft+41%

vs area median AED 1,109 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
38 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M21.1M42.0M2,3287,87613,424SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1,560686,943
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
13
26% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
37
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 13d
NEW THIS WEEK
36
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 13 are more expensive per sqft. The 37 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SAADIYAT ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1245436 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€2.04MThis: €1.95M · -4%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
13d
THIS: 14D · +1D
ACTIVE COMPS
159
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Saadiyat Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 27 MAY, 16:25

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · VI7700-2
Last verified
2h ago
27 May, 16:25
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SAADIYAT ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES