Drops · Realestate · Dubai · The VillaBack32ZV64GGXXT5G2XWVAWWQSKRKG
HUGE UPGRADED 4BED VILLA PRIVATE POOL
4BR + 5BA · 6,039 sqft · The Centro
Verified 3d ago
Now
AED 285K
AED 47
Price / sqft
−25% vs area median
6,039 sqft
Built-up area
4BR + 5BA
3d
On market
vs 7d median
AED 1,469
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDINGWHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Awaiting first price event to compute score.
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
04
17 ACTIVE COMPS IN THE VILLA
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
17 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
The Villa, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K
vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 285K) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 57K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 11K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 860
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 69K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 228K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 213K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
−AED 431 / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 2.4 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 291/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
THE VILLA · 4BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 15 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 47 /sqft-25%
vs area median AED 63 /sqft · 14 comps
RANK
4 / 15
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ UnderpricedPRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 14 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
11
79% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
14
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 285K6,03947—0d—Mediterranean Style | Corner Villa | VacantAED 229K5,43342—0d-11%Contemporary Villa | Unfurnished | Private PoolAED 450K10,78742—0d-11%Custom Build | Basement | Gym | 4BDR | Single RowAED 265K6,13843—0d-9%4 Bedroom + Maid’s + Study Villa | Cordoba | The Villa CommunityAED 330K6,87348—0d+2%Upgraded | Prime Single Row | Heart of CentroAED 285K5,50052−5.0%0d+11%TAKEAWAYOf 14 comparables, 11 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
THE VILLA · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING↓ 350↓1585 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 380KThis: AED 285K · -25%
AVG DOM
7d
THIS: 3D · −4D
ACTIVE COMPS
17
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in The Villa
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 02 JUN, 08:18THIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · 32ZV64GGXXT5G2XWVAWWQSKRKG
Last verified
…
02 Jun, 08:18
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN THE VILLA · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
−3%SCORE 78
Type A | Private Pool | EXCLUSIVE | 4 Bedroom
VILLA · PALMERA 3
AED 350K
AED 375K
PRICE TRAJECTORY
SCORE 25
Brand New 5BR Villa | Majlis | Spacious Living
VILLA · DUBAI
AED 320K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
VACANT | READY LANDSCAPED | CLOSED KITCHEN
VILLA · HARMONY 2
AED 450K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
BRAND NEW 5BR VILLA | SPACIOUS |PRIVATE POOL
VILLA · UMM SUQEIM 1 VILLAS
AED 950K
ACTIVE LISTING
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